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Dan Amoss

Dan Amoss, CFA, is managing editor for Strategic Short Report and a contributing editor to Whiskey and Gunpowder. Dan joined Agora Financial from Investment Counselors of Maryland, investment adviser for one of the top small-cap value mutual funds over the past 15 years. As a buy-side analyst, Dan refined his value investing approach by meeting with corporate executives and sell-side analysts and writing proprietary research for the fund’s management team.

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Economic Misdiagnosis Due to Government Stimulus

Oct 28th, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Featured, Macro Economics, Personal Investing
Most money managers have misdiagnosed what’s currently driving the global economy. The multiple that investors are willing to pay for next year’s earnings means more than any sentiment polling. The forward P/E multiple on the broad stock market is not nearly as high as it was during the Internet bubble, but ...read more


This Stock Market Rally Is Rented, Not Owned

Oct 19th, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Featured, Investing Strategies
Nearly every economic and corporate development over the past few months has been translated into a reason to buy stocks. But underneath the elation over Dow 10,000 lies the palpable feeling that this rally is to be “rented,” not “owned.” As cool weather descended upon the Northeast U.S., risk appetites started to ...read more


GDP’s Debt to Credit

Sep 23rd, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Featured, Macro Economics
The FDIC is considering tapping its emergency line of credit with the Treasury. FDIC Chair Sheila Bair recently hinted after a speech at Georgetown University that all options are on the table when it comes time to replenish the dwindling Deposit Insurance Fund. We’ll find out more in the next ...read more


Inflation and Oil Prices: Our Next Move

Aug 28th, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Energy, Featured, Oil
Always follow the oil market closely, because it will impact the fundamentals of many businesses -- including those we are selling short. Drivers in the U.S. no longer determine the global price of oil. So oil prices can remain high despite a weak labor market -- as we saw in the ...read more


REITs Racing to Bankruptcy

Aug 27th, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Featured, Macro Economics
With vacation season ending in the Northern Hemisphere, we’ll start to see analysis rooted in experience and common sense driving stock prices. Through much of the summer, trading has been dominated by “quant” funds that are prone to “garbage in, garbage out” decision systems. You can see it in the ...read more


Bank Accounting Fudges Loan Losses

Aug 13th, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Featured, Investing Strategies
Investors often assume dangerous, unnecessary risks by owning stocks on the basis of sloppy economic and financial analysis. For each stock you own, you should frequently reassess the reasons for owning it. Also, you need to remain on the lookout for signals that the future operating environment for a particular ...read more


Banking, the Federal Government and the Free Market

Jun 23rd, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Featured, Morning Whiskey
This week's big market development was the announcement of proposed reforms for the flock of federal regulators that apparently "supervise" the banking system. You wouldn't know there was much supervision going on based upon the events of the past year. Predictably, we're likely going to see the addition of another big ...read more


Stock Strategies: Random Predictions for 2009

Jan 12th, 2009 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Commodities, Featured
I’m happy to turn the page on 2008. We had a great streak of profitable trades in Strategic Short Report, but it still was a stressful, painful year to be an investor. Even if you’re far more patient and disciplined than most investors, you still were punished in 2008. Dozens of ...read more


Strong Resource Companies Will Survive… The Dollar May Not

Oct 9th, 2008 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Currencies, Economics, Macro Economics
Out of the thousands of hedge funds in existence, hundreds are closing up shop and liquidating, if the latest trading action was any indication. Many of these hedge funds should never have been started to begin with, because their illusory gains during the credit bubble were too often made with ...read more


Government Regulation of Short Sellers

Sep 23rd, 2008 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Economics, Macro Economics
“Give me control of a nation’s money and I care not who makes her laws.” — Mayer Amschel Rothschild Let’s observe a moment of silence to mourn the slow demise of capitalism in the U.S. Our government is now overtly manipulating the stock market. We have “crossed the Rubicon.” We can no longer ...read more