THINK OF THE LAST TIME YOU BOUGHT A HOUSE or refinanced a mortgage. How did you decide on where to get your mortgage? Many mortgage shoppers who compare quotes online discover a stunning array of choices.
This development has placed consumers in the driver’s seat when it comes to choosing a ...read more
A Truth About Oil Exporting
Jan 10th, 2008 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Oil
PEOPLE ARE AMAZED BY NUMBERS. Benchmarks and records can have huge psychological effects on the way people view a problem. So why are people so slow to react to this new milestone?
Oil has finally reached $100 per barrel, yet few people on the distant end of oil supply lines are ...read more
We Can Rebuild It
Dec 17th, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Macro Economics
BANKS AND OTHER FINANCIAL COMPANIES OPERATE with lots of leverage. This is good for bank shareholders when times are good, but very bad when loan losses start impairing assets.
If a bank were to invest its capital 6% in mortgages on an “unlevered” basis, its return on equity would be 6% ...read more
A Real Estate Bubble Where? It May Surprise You…
Nov 29th, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Commodities
A LITTLE GIRL SITS IN A MOVIE THEATER chomping on a piece of bubble gum. She begins to blow a bubble, bigger and bigger, eventually eclipsing her view of the screen. Lost in the fantasy and action on screen, the girl continues to expand the bubble oblivious to the consequence ...read more
Everything and the Kitchen Sink
Nov 5th, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Currencies, Macro Economics
IMAGINE THAT YOU RECENTLY borrowed your friend’s car and now you can’t seem to find it. It wasn’t stolen, it wasn’t towed, you’ve simply misplaced it. You’re in trouble, and your friend is definitely going to be angry. Isn’t now the best time to also tell him any other bad ...read more
Bernanke’s Choice
Oct 18th, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Macro Economics
Like a scene out of a Hollywood blockbuster, picture Fed chairman Ben Bernanke hovered over two giant red buttons. With sweat pouring from his brow and a giant clock ticking away, our hero must make a decision with the fate of the entire world holding in the balance. He could ...read more
Inflation Hedges
Oct 11th, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Macro Economics
In early August, a major storm swept across Wall Street credit markets, leaving hedge fund implosions and fear of undisclosed losses in its wake.
Bloomberg warns that "The worst U.S. housing slump in 16 years may lead mortgage companies to eliminate almost 100,000 jobs, more than double the number already cut ...read more
The Future of Iraq’s Oil Production
Sep 27th, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Oil
Earlier this month the front page of the Wall Street Journal reports that the Bush administration is going forward with yet another attempt to solve Iraq's problems. These problems are rooted in cultural, religious and territorial issues, and in my view, they cannot be resolved by free elections and big ...read more
Indigestion on Wall Street
Sep 13th, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Featured, Macro Economics
The ability to create credit now extends far beyond the reach of the traditional banking system. A revolution is transforming the credit markets, establishing links among borrowers and lenders that previously would have been impossible.
Every imaginable stream of future cash flow — from car and mortgage payments to the loans ...read more
Offshore Drillers Refinancing
Aug 2nd, 2007 | By Dan Amoss | Category: Oil
Offshore drilling stocks are cheap. At least that’s what the management teams of Transocean (RIG) and GlobalSantaFe (GSF) think. Last week, the two agreed to merge in a deal that will create a company with a combined market capitalization of about $48 billion.
There are lots of good reasons for this ...read more


