Posts Tagged ‘ Commodities ’

Inflation Is Already Here with Lots More to Come

Oct 29th, 2010 | By | Category: Featured, Macro Economics
If Paul Revere were around, maybe he’d get on his horse and start yelling, “Inflation is coming! Inflation is coming!” I think it is coming. In fact, in many ways, it’s already here, just not yet widely recognized. The deflationists still hold sway in the bond market, where investors happily accept ...read more


The Effects of Epic Stimulus

Aug 25th, 2009 | By | Category: Commodities, Featured, Macro Economics
What makes investing particularly difficult now is that the distortion in prices, as if reflected in a funhouse mirror. Normally market prices should reflect underlying demand and supply. As in a vegetable stand, the prices come from the buying and selling of people in the market. But with all the artificial ...read more


What Are Commodities Saying About the Financial Crisis?

Jun 2nd, 2009 | By | Category: Commodities, Featured, Gold
Can you believe it's already June? What a month May was for commodities. They are Lazarus, come from the dead to tell us all that the world will not stop turning if there is a financial crisis in the West. Or something like that. If we were using numbers instead of ...read more


Executive Order 10-988

Mar 20th, 2009 | By | Category: Commodities, Featured, Morning Whiskey, Personal Liberties
I keep thinking of Ray Stevens ("Ahab the Arab," "Shrine Convention," "The Day the Squirrel Got Loose," etc.) I just want to sing my little song," plot my stock charts, love my great sailor, play in my greenhouses, buy gold no matter what the economy is doing, and be the happiest ...read more


A Commodities Outlook for 2009

Feb 2nd, 2009 | By | Category: Commodities, Featured, Oil
It was almost sad to see 2008 come to an end. Talk about moving markets… As investors with discipline, there was something for everybody. The first half of the year saw ALL-TIME HIGHS in gold, crude, wheat, unleaded gas, copper, corn and soybeans. But as they say, what goes up must ...read more


Cheering Gold’s New One-Month Low

Jan 15th, 2009 | By | Category: Featured, Macro Economics
Good news everyone. Gold has reached a one-month low. In fact, February gold futures on Comex fell the most in six weeks. They tumbled four percent on the day, down US$34. This is very good news. It means you will have a chance to buy gold at lower prices before it ...read more


Falling Commodities and Inflation in the Wings

Nov 5th, 2008 | By | Category: Commodities, Emerging Markets, Macro Economics, Politics
Now to the big subject of the day: Inflation. You’d think evidence of even bigger deficits in the U.S. is clearly inflationary. But not everyone thinks so. The new prophet of doom, Dr. Nouriel Roubini, says at least four factors are setting up what he calls “Stag Deflation” (as opposed ...read more


Dhandho Investing in Commodity Companies

May 16th, 2007 | By | Category: Commodities
Mohnish Pabrai, a popular speaker at the Value Investing Congress and portfolio manager of Pabrai Investment Funds, reminds me of a young Warren Buffett. He’s delivered roughly 30% annualized returns to his investors since launching his partnership in 1999, similar to the return Buffett earned for his partners in the ...read more


Standby Commodities

Apr 27th, 2007 | By | Category: Commodities
A year ago, the average choice grading steer fetched around $85.50 per cwt to the meat packer. (The abbreviation "cwt" stands for hundredweight. Hundredweight simply means "per 100 pounds specified weight." It is always qualified as the type of weight used for cattle.) Two weeks ago, the average was $94.44 cwt, ...read more


Beware of Windfall Profits Taxes

Apr 26th, 2007 | By | Category: Oil
It's impossible to make the case that there's a perfectly free market in oil or any other globally traded commodity. Production limitations, depletion, military conflicts, nationalization risks, taxes, and environmental regulations -- they all muddy the waters of a market that many would like to be clear and efficient. The international ...read more